“African Americans” is a trending topic on Twitter right now, thanks in large part to tweets repeating the claim that only 4.7% (or, in some tweets, 4% or 5% or 10%) of blacks bothered to vote yesterday.
But it’s not true. None of it is anywhere close to true.
The real number is about 34%.
Official stats on voting by race aren’t kept, but from exit polls, vote totals, and census information, you can estimate this stuff pretty well. About 38% of the voting age population of the United States turned out to vote in yesterday’s election. There are about 26.5 million African Americans of voting age in the United States. According to exit poll data, blacks made up about 10% of the total electorate this year. About 90 million people voted in this election, and if 10% of them were black, that makes 9 million. Nine million is 34% of 26.5 million.
In other words, about a third of black adults voted this year, a percentage that’s only slightly lower than the population as a whole.
So where did the 4.7% thing come from? A tweet posted yesterday evening seems to be the source. That tweet, as you can see, is only about Wisconsin, and the guy who tweeted it later clarified that he was only referring to Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District.
But even that doesn’t make any sense, for a bunch of reasons. But it turns out that Wisconsin’s population is about 6% black, which means that if blacks in Wisconsin were voting at slightly lower numbers than whites, they could easily make up about 4.7% of the total vote in the state.
I can’t prove it yet, but I’m betting someone posted that stat somewhere, someone else misread it, and that’s how this whole thing got started.
10 comments
Comments feed for this article
November 3, 2010 at 6:35 pm
solidad
Turnout has been adjusted to 41.5%. http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2010G.html Still.
November 3, 2010 at 6:52 pm
Angus Johnston
That’s 41.5% of eligible voters, which works out to 38.2% of the population.
November 3, 2010 at 8:05 pm
BlackPerspective.net » Blog Archive » Twitter and Black Turnout For 2010 Mid-Term Election
[…] Studentactivism.net reports that: […]
November 3, 2010 at 9:42 pm
solidad
See that now. Apologies.
November 3, 2010 at 9:46 pm
Blacks gave up on Obama? « MISS MEDIA REBEL
[…] Studentactivism.net reports that: […]
November 3, 2010 at 11:09 pm
Tracy M
What I found so depressing was how few people questioned the tweet and just RT’d it. Lot of people out there quick to believe the worst that’s said about them.
November 4, 2010 at 11:04 am
ron
HA! YOU ARE CRAZY IF YOU THINK 34% OF AFRICAN AMERICANS VOTED IN A MID-TERM ELECTION lol! BE FOR REAL……….CBS NEWS IS REPORTING THE ACTUAL APPROXIMATION IS ABOUT 10 PERCENT. STILL DISMAL BUT BETTER THAN 4.7.
November 4, 2010 at 4:21 pm
Angus Johnston
Ron, the 10% figure is the number of voters who were black. Out of every hundred voters, ten were African American. The 34% figure is the percent of blacks who voted — out of every hundred adult African Americans, 34 went to the polls.
November 4, 2010 at 7:41 pm
Andre
Good article, and thanks for clearing things up. This was information I received from another source, that was published. I was given information and I provided it. I should have known the source before I published it, and for that I do apologize. Like everyone else, I took a source from early reporting and reporting it wrong, I did correct it.
Thanks for updating me with the additional numbers!
November 4, 2010 at 10:21 pm
Should Lie Low For a While! « Right Cogency
[…] what they had wrought by staying home 2 years ago. This time around, there is a report that only 4.7 of blacks voted, which has resulted in much angst. In listening to local urban talk radio and the syndicated Al […]